Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 10.111392 11.535685 13.036533 14.730835 16.585175 18.547908 20.777269
2025-08-24 7.974708 9.936937 12.136839 14.765363 17.799406 21.170718 25.178428
2025-08-31 6.399966 8.664292 11.351839 14.728766 18.808453 23.528257 29.349073
2025-09-07 5.510164 8.034952 11.185469 15.317054 20.499709 26.693145 34.555164
2025-09-14 4.610439 7.239634 10.685001 15.390372 21.501639 29.022125 38.816513
2025-09-21 3.699433 6.280159 9.837289 14.896998 21.695755 30.300513 41.780487
2025-09-28 2.968987 5.454024 9.055256 14.382352 21.772865 31.371745 44.461009
2025-10-05 2.720502 5.305779 9.194694 15.113348 23.513452 34.623033 50.002839
2025-10-12 2.580215 5.302674 9.531784 16.124830 25.660854 38.461938 56.402577
2025-10-19 2.397708 5.200237 9.698049 16.879935 27.462509 41.875396 62.315425
2025-10-26 2.116516 4.885090 9.496369 17.058867 28.432369 44.167917 66.770103
2025-11-02 1.786148 4.428162 9.016854 16.767796 28.686547 45.457139 69.874884
2025-11-09 1.496122 4.006451 8.563753 16.499988 28.981990 46.844710 73.204868
2025-11-16 1.271207 3.673284 8.224680 16.382197 29.483777 48.526340 76.973286
2025-11-23 1.077910 3.369056 7.901976 16.260765 29.961683 50.174375 80.722907
2025-11-30 0.996225 3.299583 8.001674 16.849570 31.560781 53.489830 86.899568
2025-12-07 0.864185 3.084863 7.801961 16.904615 32.307717 55.559894 91.331765
2025-12-14 0.692891 2.730646 7.286845 16.362837 32.059500 56.125053 93.589501
2025-12-21 0.548773 2.406066 6.787850 15.804142 31.742558 56.557164 95.640041
2025-12-28 0.525914 2.423072 7.009608 16.584867 33.675486 60.463279 102.867783
2026-01-04 0.525341 2.507732 7.383712 17.666804 36.144203 65.240423 111.459890
2026-01-11 0.504714 2.525441 7.609649 18.474068 38.165961 69.360654 119.135795
2026-01-18 0.446622 2.407754 7.519181 18.664945 39.134997 71.857151 124.422725